Coface invites you to take stock of the challenges, in terms of the country, political, social and sectorial risks. Event broadcast live all morning.
Join us on February 4, 2025, from 9:00 AM to 1:00 PM CET.
With over half of the global population being called upon to vote, 2024 was likely to be just as decisive as it would be unpredictable. And this proved to be the case to a large extent as there was no shortage of surprises; as illustrated by Donald Trump's re-election to a second term by a much larger majority than expected.
From an economic perspective, the situation is more in line with expectations since the US is finally decelerating, China remains rooted in its structural problems, whilst Europe is seeing some light at the end of the tunnel - admittedly in scattered order.
Above all,the inflationary hydra looks close to being vanquished, at least for the time being, while central banks are loosening their hold, releaving some preassure from the most debt-laden economic agents - notably countries.
As the world continues to fragment along a line stretching from Ukraine to the Middle East, the (geo)economic and the financial risks are ever-present as we head into 2025, which will hold its own share of surprises. Climate change, energy transition, and the ageing population remain some of the most rational and systemic challenges to be faced by societies, who are more than ever contigent on the intentions and choices of a select few.
Alongside economists from Coface, a handful of leading French and international experts from the corporate, financial and economic reserch fields will seek to decipher the major challenges facing the global economy and will assess their potential impact on the situation of companies across the globe.
Coface invites you to take stock of the challenges, in terms of the country, political, social and sectorial risks which are to be confronted in the months ahead.
On the agenda :
- 9h: Opening by Xavier Durand, CEO, Coface
- 9h10: Round table - Fracturing and geopolitical restructuring: is the American election a game-changer?
As conflicts escalate or stagnate, revealing the failure of the current world governance architecture, antagonisms are being revealed or crystallised. Will the election of the 47th President of the United States, who is due to take office on January 20th, mark a new turning point in the evolution of international relations? Three experts compare their views on the fracturing and restructuring of the geopolitical environment, and on the way this issue has penetrated corporate strategies.
- 9h50: Economic outlook - the main challenges for the world economy in 2025 and beyond
So far, the energy and monetary shocks have failed to break the world economy, which is still slowing but is closer than ever to a soft landing. While central banks are gradually loosening their grip, the fiscal issue is back in the spotlight, complicating the equation for 2025, which is widely seen as the low point in the cycle. What can we expect next year, and what are the main risks associated with this highly uncertain outlook?
With: Jean-Christophe Caffet
- 10h15: Break
- 11h: Round table - Will all of the advanced economies stay ahead?
With demographic ageing, energy transition, technological competition, etc., advanced economies are facing numerous challenges. In response, desynchronised industrial policies are making a comeback, with the risk that the initiatives of some will aggravate the downgrading of others. Coface's economists share their thoughts on the potential winners and losers of this new configuration.
With: Bernard Aw, Marcos Carias, Ruben Nizard, Jonathan Steenberg, Christiane Von-Berg
- 11h50: Round table - From geopolitical fracturing to economic and financial fragmentation
The rise of geostrategic rivalries affects a world economy that has also become increasingly fragmented. Has the growing commercial and financial integration of the last thirty years reached the end of its tether? Should we resign ourselves to a form of regionalisation of trade and a reorientation of flows (goods, capital, etc.)? This round table will compare diagnoses in the financial, manufacturing and logistics sectors.
Practical Info :
- The conference will be broadcast from the Palais Brongniart auditorium. A connection link will be sent a few days before the conference.
- Depending on the speakers, the conference will be held in French or English. Simultaneous translation will be available.
Register here: Coface Country Risk Conference | Home (colloque-risque-pays-2025.com)
